Dhaka Assembly Election 2025: Early Trends Hint at a Big Shift
The political mood in Bihar is changing rapidly as counting continues for the Dhaka Assembly Constituency (AC-21). As of Round 4 out of 28, Pawan Kumar Jaiswal of the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) has taken a commanding lead, signaling a possible major victory for the National Democratic Alliance (NDA).
The atmosphere in Dhaka is electric—villages, towns, and local tea stalls are buzzing with discussions about the early numbers that are already making headlines across the state.
A Comfortable Lead for the BJP
According to the latest data, Jaiswal has secured 21,464 votes, pulling ahead with a margin of 7,343 votes over his closest rival. His supporters, who gathered outside the counting center since early morning, are celebrating with chants, saffron flags, and hopeful smiles.
BJP’s Pawan Kumar Jaiswal
-
Votes: 21,464
-
Status: Leading (+7,343)
The BJP’s strong grassroots campaign, combined with Jaiswal’s personal connect with local voters, appears to have given him an early advantage. Many residents cite development projects, road connectivity, and welfare schemes as key factors behind their support.
RJD’s Faisal Rahman Trails Behind
In second place, Faisal Rahman of the Rashtriya Janata Dal (RJD) has received 14,121 votes so far. While the RJD had hoped to consolidate its traditional vote bank, especially in rural pockets, the early trends suggest an uphill battle.
RJD’s Faisal Rahman
-
Votes: 14,121
-
Status: Trailing (-7,343)
Despite the trailing numbers, RJD workers maintain that results may fluctuate as more rounds unfold. However, the gap is significant, and bridging it will require a dramatic shift in upcoming counts.
Jan Suraaj and Other Candidates Far Behind
The Jan Suraaj Party’s candidate, Dr. L. B. Prasad, has secured 947 votes, far behind the leading two. This comes as a disappointment for Prashant Kishor’s political experiment, which had generated initial curiosity among voters.
Other candidates, including those from the AIMIM, AAP, BSP, and independents, have received only marginal support. The numbers so far reflect a clear choice by Dhaka’s electorate between the BJP and RJD, with others having limited influence this time.
Vote Snapshot (Round 4/28)
-
Pawan Kumar Jaiswal (BJP): 21,464
-
Faisal Rahman (RJD): 14,121
-
Dr. L. B. Prasad (Jan Suraaj): 947
-
Others (AIMIM, AAP, BSP, Independents): Below 300 votes each
-
NOTA: 502 votes
What Is Driving the Shift in Dhaka?
Local voters say the election this time has been more about performance than promises. The issues that dominated conversations in Dhaka include:
Development & Infrastructure
Roads, healthcare access, improved electricity supply, and irrigation facilities have been at the center of voter concerns. Many believe the BJP addressed these better over the past few years.
Youth Aspirations
Young voters are demanding job opportunities, skill-based training, and better educational facilities. Jaiswal’s promises in this direction seem to have resonated.
Caste Equations
While caste remains an influential factor in Bihar politics, Dhaka appears to be voting more on governance and local impact this time.
Emotional Pulse on the Ground
Walking through the villages of Dhaka today, you’ll find a hopeful energy in the air. Elderly voters talk about “change with stability,” while young voters express a desire for better career options and modern infrastructure.
A 65-year-old farmer said, “Hum logon ko kaam chahiye, raasta chahiye, aur school behtar ho. Jo kaam karega, usi ko vote milega.”
(We need work, roads, and better schools. The one who delivers will get votes.)
This emotion captures the essence of Dhaka’s mandate so far.
What Lies Ahead?
With 24 rounds of counting still to go, anything is theoretically possible, but the current trend clearly favors the BJP. If this momentum continues, Dhaka might witness a decisive victory for Pawan Kumar Jaiswal by the afternoon.
The final result will not only shape Dhaka’s future but will also offer a glimpse into the broader political mood of Bihar as the state awaits an important electoral verdict.
