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Dollar Weakens, Bitcoin Soars Past $85K: Solana and Dogecoin Show Mixed Signals Amid Global Risk Shift

As global investor sentiment pivots, the U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) continues to spiral downward, breaking below key support levels and slipping under 100 for the first time in months. Meanwhile, Bitcoin (BTC) has surged 1.48% intraday, reaching $85,885, signaling a possible revival of the inverse correlation often observed between the greenback and the flagship cryptocurrency.

Dollar Weakness Sparks Risk Appetite: BTC Soars

The sustained decline in the DXY, influenced by macroeconomic uncertainty, shifting interest rate expectations, and rebalancing of international trade, has put pressure on traditional markets. The index’s Relative Strength Index (RSI) has sunk into oversold territory, hinting at a potential technical bounce—but no such rebound has materialized so far.

In contrast, Bitcoin has gained significant momentum, gradually reclaiming the 50- and 100-day exponential moving averages (EMAs) and inching closer to the 200-day EMA, a psychological resistance near $87,000. Increased trading volume and growing investor risk appetite are fueling Bitcoin’s rally.

Historically, a weaker dollar has improved the appeal of alternative stores of value like Bitcoin. With confidence in fiat currencies waning, cryptocurrencies could see a surge in capital inflows. If the dollar continues to slide, BTC could break above its immediate resistance, signaling further bullish continuation.

Solana Eyes ETF-Fueled Rally But Faces Key Test

Solana (SOL) is up 1.76%, climbing to $131, as it continues to ride a short-term bullish wave supported by an ascending trendline. However, this climb is nearing a critical inflection point. A drop below the trendline could test key support around $116, possibly signaling a short-term trend reversal.

Despite technical caution, Solana’s fundamental narrative has been bolstered by Canada’s approval of multiple spot Solana ETFs, scheduled for launch on April 16. Asset management giants like Purpose, Evolve, CI Global Asset Management, and 3iQ are preparing to issue these funds, with permission from the Ontario Securities Commission (OSC).

What sets these ETFs apart is built-in staking capabilities, a feature not available in U.S.-based ETFs. This innovation places Canada at the forefront of altcoin investment vehicles and could spark international demand for SOL exposure. Should Solana break the $135–$140 resistance zone, it may test the 100 EMA near $154, a level that could determine whether bullish momentum continues.

Dogecoin Wobbles at $0.16 as Trendline Support Weakens

Dogecoin (DOGE) has inched above $0.16, supported by a short-term ascending trendline. But this support is under threat, and a breakdown could trigger a bearish shift that sends DOGE toward $0.14 or even $0.10.

DOGE is trading within a narrow band between $0.14 support and $0.167 resistance. Failure to hold the trendline could result in steep losses, especially with 100 and 200-day EMAs still trending downward and looming near $0.21.

Market momentum appears muted, with trading volumes low and the RSI hovering near neutral, suggesting uncertainty among both bulls and bears. Unless DOGE clears the $0.167–$0.18 resistance levels with volume, upward movement may be capped.

AI Investing Insights: India’s Next Big Stock Move?

While crypto markets make headlines, traditional investors are turning to AI-driven investment strategies for alpha generation. Investing.com’s ProPicks AI portfolios—especially Tech Titans and Bharat Market Outperformers—are making waves.

In 2024, Tech Titans nearly doubled the S&P 500, while Bharat Market Outperformers showed an astonishing +902% back-tested return over six years. With AI reshaping the investing landscape, India’s stock market could offer the next big breakout stock.

Bottom Line: Crypto in Control as Dollar Slips

The inverse correlation between the DXY and Bitcoin seems alive and well, with BTC capitalizing on fiat weakness to make a strong breakout attempt. Solana’s ETF-backed rally has the potential to gather momentum if resistance is breached, while Dogecoin faces a make-or-break moment.

As macroeconomic conditions remain fluid, traders are advised to watch key EMAs, RSI trends, and volume data closely across the board. Whether you’re in crypto or equities, global capital is clearly on the move—and understanding these shifts will be critical to your next profitable trade.

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